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Committing to Peace: The Successful Settlement of Civil Wars
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1 Reddit comment about Committing to Peace: The Successful Settlement of Civil Wars:

u/ohheyaubrie ยท 2 pointsr/GradSchool

Ha thanks. At least someone is!

I'm applying Barbara F. Walter's credible commitment theory to current South Sudan documents (there isn't an agreement yet), as well as the Addis Ababa Agreement of 1972 and the Comprehensive Peace Agreement in 2005.

The theory states that in order for a peace agreement to be successful, the agreement must have power-sharing provisions and a 3rd party security guarantee. Statistically, this has proven successful in every case except Angola. In practice, however, I do not foresee it being consistently successful due to United Nations enforcement issues, as well as issues with international law should that 3rd party not be the UN, and perhaps be another country or body. It is at this point that I started to lose my belief. Also, statistically, it is better to have a rebel military victory rather than to bother with peace agreements as they often fail.

You can read more about Walter's theory in her book.