Reddit reviews Modern Chinese Warplanes: Combat Aircraft and Units of the Chinese Air Force and Naval Aviation
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Reference Book
AFAIK, definitive figures are available primarily for early variants (i.e. J-10, J-10A, J-10AS, J-10S), and have been published in Modern Chinese Warplanes, few years ago.
Lately - or at least in the case of J-10B/Cs - it became extremely hard to track new intakes because various of photographers are self-censuring serials visible on their photos before releasing these on the internet.
Anyway, what I know is as follows:
Totals (except I botched up this calculation):
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404 (without prototypes)
Re. if they are at 'full production': production rate is at around 20-24 aircraft per annum, and this output is quite stabile since some 7-8 years. Chinese are in no rush, and thus I doubt they're going to increase this output. They're not going to decrease it either, though, because ever more of WS-10s are available and production of J-10B/Cs is organized so to make sure that at least one of sub-variants is regularly entering service (this is done so that there are sub-variants equipped with PESA and AL-41, AESA and AL-41, or with old radar and WS-10, for rexample, but - at least until now - there's no variant including 'all the newest stuff', which means they first want to test all of this at the FTTC, and see it really works, before installing all the 'best stuff' into something like 'definite' variant).