Reddit reviews The Shift: The Next Evolution in Baseball Thinking
We found 2 Reddit comments about The Shift: The Next Evolution in Baseball Thinking. Here are the top ones, ranked by their Reddit score.
Russell Carleton has a whole chapter on this in The Shift, but the amount of runners getting thrown out at home is criminally low. If you were thrown out at home with 2 outs, it's almost always the result of good decision making and a bad outcome.
It's hard to say what Braun's chances of making it home safely were when he made the decision to go. But the odds of scoring a run with 2 outs and runners on 1st and 3rd are 28.6% (maybe a couple of points higher with where we were at in the order). Runners get thrown out at home about 5% of the time in the situation we were in. So 3rd base coaches should be way more aggressive than they historically have been. As long as Braun thought he had a greater than 30% chance of making it, it was the right call in that situation. Sucks that he got thrown out, but still the right call.
More reading:
whats he supposed to do differently given the arms he has?
This 'the manager doesnt know how to manage the bullpen' line is lazy and just not supported by anything other than kneejerk narrow view that only considers this game on this date.
​
edit: I REALLY suggest you give this a read for a really great detailed discussion on how little 'bullpen management' matters:
https://www.amazon.com/Shift-Next-Evolution-Baseball-Thinking/dp/1629375446