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The machine learning model. Remember that Cognicism, the actual authors claims are not shown to users. The ML outputs an aggregate view of a collective of people trying to find a common truth together. The idea of "centralized arbiters of truth" really doesn't have much legs in my mind.

There are many attempts at making a "scoring algorithm" for truth. We talk about most of them in the manifesto.

Truthcoin (now hivemind) is basically just a crypto based on prediction markets. Simpler but I think it can be corrupted. [Metaculus] (http://www.metaculus.com/help/scoring/) also focuses on prediction and they concede that there are infinite scoring functions.

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From my perspective, the key is ML model, and FourThought API which is a constraint on how truths are evaluated. You don't just rate true or false, you rate on a spectrum of 0% likely to be true to 100% likely.

The ML model is using the raw text of the thoughts as well as the collective score. It's always trying to predict itself what accounts are making the predictions (or statements) that end up being logged to the chain.

The models seem to favor accounts that fall into the basic constraints laid out in this book They use Brier scores for evaluation like Prediction Book. In their case they find that scorers that make more nuanced predictions, and update their scores more often are more accurate. The ML models are meant to learn similar patterns in accounts.

The models are constantly learning, and becoming more rich with knowledge over time, and resistant to corruption by trolls.

Early models with not a lot of training time and pretty dumb and susceptible.

Definetly check out the book
https://www.amazon.com/Elon-Musk-SpaceX-Fantastic-Future/dp/0062301233


I went for the audio book on audible. Was a good commute listen. If Ashley Vance is actually a fan boy, he did a great job hiding it and I'd like to thank him for that.

Some Musk facts from the book:


-photographic memory


-intense, innate drive


-mastery of physics visualization


-loner through childhood


-rough paternal childhood


-future keystones, determined in college: internet, renewable energy, space


-thought both Tesla and SpaceX would fail


There's way more stuff, really consider the book. If there was a perfect person to become 'Elon Musk', it was Elon Musk. I'm glad we have him.

I see your 100% factual comment is being down-voted by those fans of von Braun, who don't really know much about him.

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For those who are at least somewhat interested in what really happened, I recommend the most detailed biography of von Braun, written by the professional historian and one time chairmen of the Space History Division at the Smithsonian’s National Air and Space Museum, Dr. Michael J. Neufeld:

[link] von Braun: Dreamer of Space, Engineer of War

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It is written with the help from von Braun family and German archives. There is no question that von Braun was complicit in war crimes, and that this part of his biography was intentionally white-washed later by the US military, to make him more palatable for the american public as a prominent figure in the US space program.

There is also an excellent Deutsche Welle documentary: "Wernher von Braun – Rocket Man for War and Peace"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OqmlDqiHYWU

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von Braun has achieved much as a brilliant manager of German and then US space programs. But in the process he unscrupulously used Nazis and then Americans as vehicles for furthering his personal interests.

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V-2 has only become possible, because von Braun personally lobbied Hitler to give the program the highest military priority. In America, von Braun equally eagerly presented to the military brass plans to create massive orbital stations armed with nuclear weapons, in the hope that he will be put in charge of another massive project. Killing a lot of people was never a problem for von Braun.

I’d highly recommend reading the biography by Ashlee Vance

It’s really quite fascinating, and confirmation that Musk isn’t just all hype.

sorry late to thread but is it this?

https://www.amazon.com/Elon-Musk-SpaceX-Fantastic-Future/dp/B00UVY52JO/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1539566355&sr=1-1&keywords=elon+musk+ashlee+vance

Title is slightly different, I figured it''s what you meant but just wanna make sure in case there was another one out there.

yes, there is: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B00KVI76ZS/ref=dp-kindle-redirect?_encoding=UTF8&btkr=1

Former Head of Talent acquisition at SpaceX Dolly Singh linked to this book. Available next year though.

Looks like Musk may have been reading Engineering Happiness

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Looks like one of them says "Soyuz". Possibly this one: http://www.amazon.com/dp/1852336579/ref=rdr_ext_tmb and another one says "Atlas". Not sure which book, though.

Yup. Check out his book, you won't regret it.

We know where you live too ¬_¬

Since you want a Tesla so bad, you should buy this one; it's in your price range and you won't go to juvie for operating it.

As of this post, Hardcover $10.00 $29.99

Read Superintelligence. Or check out Bostrom's TED talk.

This article text is a copy from Elon book.

https://www.amazon.ca/Elon-Musk-SpaceX-Fantastic-Future/dp/0062301233

Highly recommended.

There’s a book for that

https://www.amazon.com/dp/006230125X/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_awdb_t1_uycYCbRK1NCA3

>Pete, to me, seems to be more thought out.

Have you read Andrew's Book?

https://www.amazon.com/Elon-Musk-SpaceX-Fantastic-Future/dp/0062301233/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1479841323&sr=8-1&keywords=elon+musk

how ironic... Jeff Bezos selling us the Biography of Elon Musk.

It is written by Dr. Julian Hosp - Cryptocurrencies simply explained -> https://www.amazon.de/Cryptocurrencies-simply-explained-Co-Founder-Decentralization-ebook/dp/B077GPKK2Q/ref=nodl_

https://www.amazon.com/Hot-Max-500G-Propane-Torch/dp/B00282LP34/ref=pd_sim_469_14?_encoding=UTF8&pd_rd_i=B00282LP34&pd_rd_r=DMADQDKGYX3HFY7SJ2VT&pd_rd_w=tcTSD&pd_rd_wg=CRfhJ&psc=1&refRID=DMADQDKGYX3HFY7SJ2VT

https://www.amazon.com/Elon-Musk-SpaceX-Fantastic-Future/dp/0062301233/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1522334759&sr=8-3&keywords=elon+musk&dpID=5174GQsw2oL&preST=_SY291_BO1,204,203,200_QL40_&dpSrc=srch

His biography

From previous post: Superintelligence

After checking this link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uY7u0_UxC0w
it seems as if Mr Musk have been reading
http://www.amazon.com/Avogadro-Corp-Singularity-Closer-Appears-ebook/dp/B006ACIMQQ

I strongly urge anyone curious about what Elon Musk is specifically concerned about (as the specific dangers he's worried about are not yet being openly discussed in the press), to read the book Superintelligence, by Nick Bostrom.

He seems to have gotten the idea from Nick Bostrom's Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies, which he read recently (Twitter link).

>Really? It's still their opinion, there's no way to prove or disprove it. Trump has an opinion that global warming is faked but it doesn't mean it's true.

From my perspective, you have that analogy flipped. Even if we run with it, it's impossible to ignore the sudden dramatic rate of acceleration in AI capability and accuracy over just the past few years, just as it is with the climate. Even the CEO of Google was caught off-guard by the sudden acceleration within his own company. Scientists also claim that climate change is real and that it's an existential threat; should we ignore them though because they can't "prove" it? What "proof" can be provided for the future? You can't, so you predict based on the trends. And their trend lines have a lot of similarities.

>Also, even if it's a threat(i don't think so, but let's assume it is), how putting it in your brain will help? That's kind of ridiculous. Nowadays you can turn your PC off or even throw it away. You won't be able to do that once it's in your brain. Also, what if the chip decides to take control over your arms and legs one day? It's insane to say that AI is a threat but to plan to put it inside humans' brain. AI will change your perception input and you will be thinking you are living your life but in reality you will be sitting in a cell somewhere. Straight up some Matrix stuff. Don't want that.

The point is that, in a hypothetical world where AI becomes so intelligent and powerful that you are effectively an ant in comparison, both in intelligence and influence, a likely outcome is death just as it is for billions of ants that we step on or displace without knowing or caring; think of how many species we humans have made extinct. Or if an AI is harnessed by a single entity, those controlling it become god-like dictators because they can prevent the development of any further AIs and have unlimited resources to grow and impose. So the Neuralink "solution" is to 1) Enable ourselves to communicate with computer-like bandwidth and elevate ourselves to a level comparable to AI instead of being left in ant territory, and 2) make each person an independent AI on equal footing so that we aren't controlled by a single external force.

It sounds creepy in some ways to me too, but an existential threat sounds a lot worse. And there's a lot of potential for amazement as well. Just like with most technological leaps.

I don't know how much you've read on the trends and future of AI. I would recommend Nick Bostrom's book "Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies", but it's quite lengthy and technical. For a shorter thought experiment, the Paperclip Maximizer scenario.

Even if the threat is exaggerated, I see no problem with creating this if it's voluntary.